New York (CNN Business)The handwriting is on the wall: Sears appears to be nearing bankruptcy.
Despite years of losses, store closings and other financial problems at Sears, “the possibility of a bankruptcy does seem to be higher than over the past couple of years,” said Robert Schulz, chief credit analyst for the retail industry for Standard & Poor’s. He said previously the situation did not have the “sense of urgency” that exists now.
Sears Holdings, the parent company of Sears and Kmart, faces an October 15 deadline to pay $134 million on its debt. CEO and primary shareholder Eddie Lampert told the company’s board that it was crucial it restructure more than $5 billion it owes “without delay,” according to a recent regulatory filing.
Investors are giving up hope on a deal. Sears Holdings (SHLD) stock plunged 30% Wednesday. The stock has lost two-thirds of its already depressed value since Lampert announced the attempt to restructure the company’s debt on September 24.
Lampert has been willing to pour additional cash into the company in return for debt backed by real estate or other hard assets. For example, he recently offered to buy its Kenmore appliance brand for $400 million. But the company’s independent directors have yet to accept that offer or take action on his proposal to restructure Sears’ debt he says the company can no longer afford.
Signs that the end is near
Sears revealed Tuesday night that investor Bruce Berkowitz of Fairholme Capital Management dumped 142,000 shares of Sears in the last few days, for only 59 cents to 65 cents a share. The sale represents just 8% of his remaining stake in the company, but it’s not a good sign: He may be cutting some of his losses, because shareholders are typically wiped out in a bankruptcy.
The company also announced Tuesday that it added a new member to its board of directors who is familiar with bankruptcies and restructuring: Alan Carr, CEO of the restructuring advisory firm Drivetrain.
Sears has hired M-III Partners, a boutique advisory firm specializing in seeing companies through bankruptcies and restructuring, according to the Wall Street Journal. The company is also talking to lenders about providing it with debtor-in-possession financing, CNBC reported. That kind of loan is used by companies that file for bankruptcy to fund operations during the process.
Sears did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
What happens if Sears goes bankrupt
If Sears does file for bankruptcy, it could try to stay in business, using the court process to shed debt and unaffordable leases. It could attempt to emerge as a profitable company.
But the retail landscape is littered with out-of-business brands that tried to reorganize in the bankruptcy process and liquidated their businesses instead. In just the last few years RadioShack, Toys “R” Us and Sports Authority have all followed the path to the retailer graveyard.
Sears was at one point America’s largest retailer and its largest employer. But its declines goes back decades, well before the growth of online shopping that threatens traditional brick-and-mortar retailers.
Sears and Kmart merged to form Sears Holdings in 2005 when they had 3,500 US stores between them. A long series of store closings has left it with fewer than 900 today.
In July, Sears closed its last store in Chicago, once its hometown. The company recently announced another 46 store closings that will take place just before the start of the holiday shopping period.
Sears and Kmart had 89,000 employees as of Feb. 3 of this year, according to a company filing. That’s down from 317,000 US employees in early 2006, soon after the merger. It has lost $11.7 billion since 2010, its last profitable year.